Depth is an interesting issue to have and is not one the Beavers have had in the infield recently. With highly touted freshmen Cadyn Grenier and Nick Madrigal joining the roster, the Beavers are overloaded with infielders. But are they good enough to knock off the incumbents?
1st Base
The least affected position of the this talent influx is at 1st base where KJ Harrison is likely to remain the starter and Billy King able to fill in when Harrison slides over to catcher. Both are good options as Harrison was the best hitter on the team last year and King showed flashes, plus he turned in a solid showing in the West Coast League. Here are their conference stats from last season, I'll be using conference stats throughout this preview as I feel that the higher level of competition is more representative overall of skill.
Name | BA | AB | RBI | SLG |
Billy King | 0.25 | 44 | 8 | 0.295 |
KJ Harrison | 0.239 | 109 | 23 | 0.33 |
K% | BB% | ISO | BABIP | OBP | |
Billy King | 23.9 | 2.2 | 0.045 | 0.333 | 0.283 |
KJ Harrison | 25.9 | 11.9 | 0.091 | 0.358 | 0.348 |
Neither guy posted great stats in conference last year. Harrison had an outstanding non-conference showing, it's where he had 8 of his 10 home runs last year. He specifically had struggles with seeing pitches and guessing, as demonstrated with his high strikeout percentage, which is somewhat surprising that he was still able to achieve an acceptable walk percentage.
With another year to refine his approach Harrison should be just fine, and hopefully can even improve from his Freshman All-American season. Nationally, he is expected to, as evidenced by his also being a pre-season All-American.
King meanwhile should just benefit from more plate appearances. He had a slash line of .336/.406/.398 in summer ball and should be getting every opportunity this season. For games when Harrison gets the start at first I would expect to see him at DH.
2nd Base
Chirstian Donahue is the incumbent but the competition is even stronger this year with Grenier and Madrigal in the fold. Pat Casey has said that most guys will get a look at all the infield spots and maybe even in the outfield. Here are the stats of Donahue below (conference stats again):
Name | BA | AB | RBI | SLG |
Christian Donahue | 0.291 | 103 | 5 | 0.34 |
K% | BB% | ISO | BABIP | OBP | |
Christian Donahue | 18.3 | 7.5 | 0.049 | 0.375 | 0.362 |
Across the board all his numbers are pretty reasonable though not overly outstanding. He did do a pretty good job of just getting on base and played some excellent defense as well. It's not going to be easy though, as Morrison is a former 1st team all-Pac-12 honoree, Madrigal has been getting unbelievable levels of hype, and Grenier was in the talks in the MLB first round and was only passed over because of his signability with the bonus he was requiring.
It sounds like any of those guys might be pushed into the lineup over him and my feel is that Madrigal slots into the lineup there. He matches the past Beaver 2nd basemen as a slightly smaller player, he's listed as 5' 8" so he's not really small, but his defense will be critical. He should not be a drop off on offense either, with his stats from his time with the Corvallis Knights:
Name | Batting Avg | AB | RBI | SLG% | OBP |
Nick Madrigal | 0.296 | 186 | 20 | 0.376 | 0.337 |
K% | BB% | ISO | BABIP | ||
4.0 | 4.5 | 0.080 | 0.307 |
That strikeout percentage is something else and the rest is acceptable. Not world-beating but still good enough to plug into the lineup. This might be pegging into a slot unfairly but if the defense proves to be as good as is stated he will get on the field. Which brings us to...
Shortstop
For all the discussion about the freshmen, especially among the national pundits, it seems that incumbent Trever Morrison has to hold onto his role. Before getting injured last season he was starting to find his groove offensively while offering the same tremendous defense he has shown over his two year career so far at OSU. Grenier and Madrigal are certainly talents, but Morrison already has a track record as one of the best shortstops in the Pac-12. Here are his offensive numbers from the last two years.
2014 | 2015 | Grand Total | ||
Trever Morrison | BA | 0.214 | 0.297 | 0.246 |
AB | 103 | 64 | 167 | |
RBI | 12 | 6 | 18 | |
SLG | 0.301 | 0.328 | 0.311 |
2014 | 2015 | Grand Total | ||
Trever Morrison | K% | 21.6 | 13.75 | 18.537 |
BB% | 12.8 | 11.25 | 12.195 | |
ISO | 0.087 | 0.031 | 0.118 | |
BABIP | 0.293 | 0.358 | 0.320 | |
OBP | 0.322 | 0.408 | 0.355 |
Morrison is already one of the best defenders in the conference and his offense was really coming around next year. The others will certainly get a look at shortstop in non-conference games, but with his experience and skill I expect him to hold down his same old spot, though it is possible he's the one that slides over to second base as well.
3rd Base
This is where I finally expect Cadyn Grenier to land. Michael Gretler and Caleb Hamilton were playing at third last season but their offensive numbers were not fantastic:
2014 | 2015 | Grand Total | ||
Caleb Hamilton | BA | 0.202 | 0.191 | 0.197 |
AB | 89 | 94 | 183 | |
RBI | 13 | 10 | 23 | |
SLG | 0.270 | 0.309 | 0.290 | |
Michael Gretler | BA | 0.157 | 0.157 | |
AB | 51 | 51 | ||
RBI | 6 | 6 | ||
SLG | 0.176 | 0.176 |
2014 | 2015 | Grand Total | ||
Caleb Hamilton | K% | 24.3 | 18.0 | 21.1 |
BB% | 12.1 | 10.8 | 11.5 | |
ISO | 0.068 | 0.118 | 0.186 | |
BABIP | 0.279 | 0.227 | 0.252 | |
OBP | 0.314 | 0.270 | 0.292 | |
Michael Gretler | K% | 18.8 | 18.8 | |
BB% | 9.4 | 9.4 | ||
ISO | 0.019 | 0.019 | ||
BABIP | 0.211 | 0.211 | ||
OBP | 0.241 | 0.241 |
Both played some pretty darn good defense but this position more than any other needs the offensive upgrade. That's where Grenier comes in. He is already regarded as a good defender and his bat has been one of his more highly regarded tools. Here are his numbers from his time last summer with the Bend Elks of the West Coast League:
Name | Batting Avg | AB | RBI | SLG% | OBP |
Cadyn Grenier | 0.323 | 186 | 29 | 0.484 | 0.382 |
K% | BB% | ISO | BABIP | ||
16.9 | 9.2 | 0.161 | 0.380 |
The West Coast League is not the Pac-12 but it still has decent players. The numbers match the expectation with his tools and that bodes well. If he struggles expect to see the old guard (probably Hamilton) to step in, but his larger build inclines me to think he will be more well suited to 3rd base over 2nd and I still believe in Morrison at SS. OSU will need as bat as well and this seems like the most logical starting spot for him.
Catcher
Logan Ice will be the man behind the plate and KJ Harrison will play when Ice has a rest day. Pretty cut and dry. Here are Ice's stats from the last two years:
2014 | 2015 | Grand Total | ||
Logan Ice | BA | 0.267 | 0.297 | 0.279 |
AB | 90 | 64 | 154 | |
RBI | 9 | 10 | 19 | |
SLG | 0.300 | 0.469 | 0.370 |
2014 | 2015 | Grand Total | ||
Logan Ice | K% | 12.8 | 13.6 | 13.1 |
BB% | 17.9 | 11.1 | 15.2 | |
ISO | 0.033 | 0.172 | 0.205 | |
BABIP | 0.329 | 0.340 | 0.333 | |
OBP | 0.398 | 0.387 | 0.394 |
While not a terrific bat he is one of the best backstops out there, playing outstanding defense ever since his first game for Oregon State and he will be the starting catcher and play majority of the innings there.