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Oregon State vs. Missouri: By the Numbers

Let's take a look at Missouri and throw some numbers around as we anxiously await the 11 a.m. kickoff:

vs. Murray State W, 47-7
vs. Ole Miss W, 34-7
at New Mexico W, 27-17
vs. Ohio W, 31-6
vs. Colorado W, 28-13
at Texas Tech W, 38-21
at Texas A&M L, 25-19
vs. Kansas State W, 41-21
vs. Oklahoma L, 26-10
at Nebraska L, 34-20
at Iowa State L, 21-16
vs. Kansas W, 42-17

OSU vs. Missouri

Offensive Stats

Team GP Rush YPG Rush YPC Rush TD's Pass YPG Comp/ Game Pass TD's QB Rating Pts Per Game
OSU 13 119.5 3.5 19 233.6 17.5 16 140.8 26.9
MIZZOU 12 145.1 4.1 14 269.3 22.8 26 143.1 29.4

Defensive Stats

Team GP Rush YPG Rush YPC Rush TD's Pass YPG Pass YPA Pass TD's Pts Allowed Int's
OSU 13 103.1 3.3 17 213.3 16.6 14 21 17
MIZZOU 12 137.3 2.8 10 171.5 16.7 15 17.9 12

Now... what does all this mean for the Beavers?

First off, this is going to be a match-up of teams headed in opposite directions. Oregon State has won 7 of it's last 8 games and ended the regular season as one of the hottest teams in the country, breaking into the Top 25 for the first time this season after their victory over Hawaii.  Missouri, on the other hand, has only won one of its last four games, and has had trouble getting things going in the losses.

Just looking at Missouri on paper, they appear fairly well rounded. They lead Oregon State in nearly every offensive category, and their defense doesn't look that bad either. However, from doing the research, this team has trouble living up to their numbers.

Sophomore quarterback Chase Daniel leads a high-powered Tigers spread offense that averages 414.3 yards, 12th-best in the nation. He finished with the 10th-most passing yards in the nation (3,197) and had 26 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. His yards were good, but his efficiency is lacking, showing signs of his inexperience. He's only a Sophomore. When everything wasn't clicking for Mizzou, Daniel's numbers were significantly lower. In the games Missouri has lost, Daniel has thrown 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. That's not good, considering Oregon State has a knack for creating turnovers. The Beavers have 17 interceptions on the year, along with a pass defense that continues to improve.

From what I've read and seen, Missouri has just an average run defense. This could be good news for OSU running back Yvenson Bernard, who has broken 100 yards 6 times this year. Take a look at Missouri's losses, and they're all against teams that protect the football and establish the run early.

The Beavers do that and control the tempo of this game, and we could see win #10 for the Beavers this season, the most Riley would have ever gotten at Oregon State.

Go Beavers!

--JB--