NCAA Tournament and NIT Bracketology: February 8 Edition

Are Eric Moreland And The Beavers NIT Bound? - Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

You may have a foot of snow outside your door, but the warmth of March isn't too far away.

With just four weeks remaining until the Pac-12 Tournament, Oregon State finds itself in a position it hasn't seen since the 2004-05 season. The Beavers could very well find themselves playing in a postseason event not named the CBI once March rolls around, and in order to gain a sense of where we stand compared to the rest of the nation, I'll be releasing my postseason projections periodically until the team gives me a reason to give up hope.

First up, the NCAA Tournament:

(1) EAST
New York (Fri/Sun)
(2) WEST
Anaheim (Thu/Sat)
Buffalo (Thu/Sat) San Diego (Fri/Sun)
1 Syracuse (ACC) 1 Arizona (Pac-12)
16 Robert Morris (NE)/Coastal Carolina (Big South) 16 Utah Valley (WAC)
8 New Mexico 88 George Washington
9 SMU 9 Harvard (Ivy)
San Diego (Fri/Sun) Spokane (Thu/Sat)
55 5 Iowa 5 5 Kentucky
12 Baylor 1212 Colorado/Providence
4 Creighton (Big East) 4 Iowa State
13 Toledo (MAC) 13 Green Bay (Horizon)

Raleigh (Fri/Sun)
6 Virginia 666 Connecticut
11 Stanford 11 Kansas State
3 Michigan State 3 Michigan (Big Ten)
14 Stony Brook (America East) 14 Mercer (Atlantic Sun)
Spokane (Thu/Sat) Buffalo (Thu/Sat)
7 Pittsburgh 7 Memphis
10 Southern Miss (C-USA) 10 Tennessee
2 Wichita State (MVC) 2 Villanova
15 UC Santa Barbara (Big West) 15 Weber State (Big Sky)
(4) MIDWEST
Indianapolis (Fri/Sun)
(3) SOUTH
Memphis (Thu/Sat)
St. Louis (Fri/Sun) Orlando (Thu/Sat)
1 San Diego State (MWC) 1 Florida (SEC)
16 Canisius (MAAC)/Chattanooga (Southern) 16 Southern U (SWAC)
8 UCLA 8 California
9 Florida State 9 Massachusetts
San Antonio (Fri/Sun) Orlando (Thu/Sat)
5 Oklahoma 5 Wisconsin
12 Missouri 12 St. Joseph's/Arizona State
4 Louisville 4 Texas
13 North Carolina Central (MEAC) 13 American U (Patriot)
San Antonio (Fri/Sun) Raleigh (Fri/Sun)
6 Oklahoma State 6 Gonzaga (WCC)
11 Xavier 11 Minnesota
3 Saint Louis (Atlantic 10) 3 Duke
14 Georgia State (Sun Belt) 14 Delaware (CAA)
St. Louis (Fri/Sun) Milwaukee (Thu/Sat)
7 VCU 7 Ohio State
10 North Carolina 10 LSU
2 Kansas (Big 12) 2 Cincinnati (AAC)
15 Stony Brook (Ohio Valley) 15 IPFW (Summit)
FIRST FOUR (Dayton)
Tuesday: To Buffalo Tuesday: To Orlando
16 Robert Morris (Northeast) 12 St. Joseph's
16 Coastal Carolina (Big South) 12 Arizona State
Wednesday: To St. Louis Wednesday: To Spokane
16 Canisius (MAAC) 12 Colorado
16 Chattanooga (Southern) 12 Providence


BIDS BY CONFERENCE LAST FOUR BYES ARRIVALS DEPARTURES
Big 12: 7 Xavier N/A N/A
Pac-12: 6 Minnesota

ACC: 6 Baylor

Big Ten: 6 Missouri

AAC: 5 LAST FOUR IN

A10: 5
St. Joseph's

SEC: 5 Colorado

Big East: 4 Providence

MW: 2 Arizona State

1-Bid Conferences: 22 FIRST FOUR OUT


Oregon


Saint Mary's


Clemson


Richmond


NEXT FOUR OUT


Arkansas


Boise State


Louisiana Tech


BYU


Bracket Notes:

  • You'll notice teams like Stanford and Oregon on the bubble, both teams that the Beavers posted wins over in the month of January. Does that mean that we aren't far behind? Yes and no. Our record is almost bubble worthy, but at 13-9, so are plenty of others around the country. Combine that fact with our low RPI, and dancing is still a long ways off. A top five road win tomorrow afternoon at Arizona would move us up in a hurry, however.
  • Baylor is being buried by a lot of bracketologists at the moment because of a bad two week stretch in January, but I've got them on the right side of the bubble. The Bears have posted wins away from home against Colorado, Kentucky, and Oklahoma State, and while conference play has been unkind to them, the Big 12 is the second toughest league in the country.
  • The SEC is quickly losing a lot of respect, partly a product of its best teams eating each other in league play. I've got five teams in the NCAA's, but three on the ten line or lower. Could easily change within the week.
  • In the Pac-12, Arizona is hanging onto its one seed, and will be on that top line until it suffers a second loss. UCLA and California's bad losses in the past week dropped them both to eight seeds, a place you don't want to be since a win means a date with a one seed in the next round. Stanford is safely in the field as an 11 seed, and I project both Colorado and Arizona State to the "First Four". Oregon is my first team out of the field after dropping seven of its last nine.

NIT PROJECTIONS

1 Oregon 1 Saint Mary's
8 Vanderbilt 8 Saint Bonaventure
4 Washington 4 NC State
5 Wake Forest 5 Northwestern
3 Georgetown 3 Indiana
6 Purdue 6 Oregon State
2 Arkansas 2 Boise State
7 La Salle 7 Nebraska
1 Richmond 1 Clemson
8 Penn State 8 Indiana State
4 Mississippi 4 Marquette
5 St. John's 5 Maryland
3 Dayton 3 Clemson
6 UNLV 6 Ohio
2 BYU 2 Louisiana Tech
7 West Virginia 7 Illinois




First Four Out

Butler
Notre Dame
UTEP
Missouri State

Next Four Out

Middle Tennessee
Wyoming
Seton Hall
Miami (Florida)

NIT Notes:

  • The Beavers enter the field as a six seed, joining the likes of Purdue, UNLV, and Ohio on the six line. The next goal for Oregon State is to finish as a four or higher, which would mean at least one of the games would be played in Gill Coliseum.
  • Oregon and Washington are the two other Pac-12 teams in the field, with the Ducks as a one and Huskies as a four. Joining the Ducks on the top line are Saint Mary's, Richmond, and Clemson.

CBI PROJECTIONS - Click here for part one, and here for part two.

--Connor Pelton

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