FanPost

Sagarin Conference Predictions 1/3

In case you have missed it, I have a spread sheet I created using the Sagarin Predictor values and the Pac-12 schedule to create a prediction for the conference at the end of the year. It is dynamic as upsets happen but it does give a good idea of what to expect, and what to watch for.

The games this past weekend changed almost nothing for any team in conference. It pains me to type it but Oregon grabbed the only upset. As a result they moved up a few spots and helped drop WSU.

For OSU, the Cal game Thursday was predicted as a win last week but now is a predicted loss. But that prediction is still by less than a point. This loss is why OSU dropped to 4th in conference predictions this week. It goes without saying, there needs to be an upset Thursday. The Stanford game Saturday is a predicted win. It is one of only three games that Stanford is predicted to lose this year in conference. That is quite the compliment.

In other games, watch for the Arizona loss at UCLA. It must happen to give OSU a shot at 3rd in conference. It is possible AZ could also lose at USC as Sagarin only gives AZ a 1.5 point advantage. An interesting note is that the UW@CU and WSU@CU games are close enough that CU could win either. That would help keep UW and/or WSU off our heals. I know we also would like to see the ducks get swept but if they split this weekend then they help us in our efforts to catch Stanford or Cal as long as OSU takes care of business. The flip side is the RPI argument. Do we really want our best teams in conference losing any unnecessary games?

Predicted Conference Standings





Conference Overall
Rank Predictor
Team W - L W - L
21 86.42
California 17 - 1 27 - 4
32 84.83
Stanford 15 - 3 25 - 5
52 81.54
Arizona 13 - 5 22 - 9
45 82.13
Oregon State 12 - 6 22 - 8
53 81.48
Washington 11 - 7 20 - 10
110 77.05
Oregon 8 - 10 17 - 13
89 78.72
Washington State 8 - 10 16 - 14
94 78.22
UCLA 8 - 10 16 - 15
126 75.19
Colorado 6 - 12 14 - 16
114 76.17
Southern California 6 - 12 11 - 20
177 71.23
Arizona State 2 - 16 6 - 24
336 56.48
Utah 0 - 18 3 - 27

Predicted schedule results




home team adds


Visitor
Home

3.89
Win=1









California @ Oregon State 86.42
86.02

-0.4
Stanford @ Oregon State 84.83
86.02
1 1.19
Oregon State @ Arizona 82.13
85.43

-3.3
Oregon State @ Arizona State 82.13
75.12
1 7.01
UCLA @ Oregon State 78.22
86.02
1 7.8
Southern California @ Oregon State 76.17
86.02
1 9.85
Oregon State @ Oregon 82.13
80.94
1 1.19
Oregon State @ Colorado 82.13
79.08
1 3.05
Oregon State @ Utah 82.13
60.37
1 21.76
Washington State @ Oregon State 78.72
86.02
1 7.3
Washington @ Oregon State 81.48
86.02
1 4.54
Oregon State @ Stanford 82.13
88.72

-6.59
Oregon State @ California 82.13
90.31

-8.18
Oregon @ Oregon State 77.05
86.02
1 8.97
Utah @ Oregon State 56.48
86.02
1 29.54
Colorado @ Oregon State 75.19
86.02
1 10.83

Other games this weekend

Stanford @ Oregon
84.83
80.94
California @ Oregon
86.42
80.94

Arizona @ UCLA
81.54
82.11
Arizona @ Southern California
81.54
80.06

Washington @ Colorado
81.48
79.08
Washington @ Utah
81.48
60.37

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or the Building the Dam staff. FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable Oregon State fans.

In This FanPost

Teams
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Building The Dam

You must be a member of Building The Dam to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Building The Dam. You should read them.

Join Building The Dam

You must be a member of Building The Dam to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Building The Dam. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker