Well, we have done all we can do. The Beavers finished up the Regular Season with a Series Win over the Arizona Wildcats. Our Season is over, the Conference Tournaments are over, and now we wait until 9:30 AM tomorrow morning. In this post you will find the results of the Conference Tournaments around the nation, and a look at our final odds to make the Field of 64.
Read on after the break
Tournament Favorite Champion What this means for the Beavers
America East Binghamton Stony Brook Doesn't matter, this was a one bid league anyway.
Atlantic 10 Charlotte Saint Louis Same thing, one bid league anyway.
ACC Virginia Florida State Both teams would have made it anyway.
Atlantic Sun Florida Gulf Coast Mercer Both FGCU and MU will make it. One less spot.
Big 12 Texas Texas A&M Both teams would have made it anyway.
Big East Louisville St. John's That takes another At-Large Bid away.
Big South Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina preserves another Bubble Team.
Big Ten Minnesota Minnesota One bid league anyway.
CAA James Madison VCU James Madison might make it in as well though.
C-USA Rice Southern Miss Probably only a one bid league anyway.
Horizon League Wright State UW-Milwaukee Was a one bid league anyway.
MAAC Canisius Rider Doesn't matter, one bid league anyway.
MAC Central Michigan Kent State Same thing, one bid league anyway.
MEAC Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman One bid league anyway.
MVC Wichita State Illinois State Probably a one bid league, but WSU might get in.
MWC TCU TCU Probably a three bid league anyway.
NEC Sacred Heart Central Conn. St. Dosn't matter, was a one bid league anyway.
OVC Tennessee Tech Jacksonville State Same thing, was a one bid league anyway.
Patriot League Army Bucknell Doesn't matter, a one bid league anyway.
SEC Florida LSU Doesn't matter, both teams would have gotten in.
SoCon The Citadel The Citadel Doesn't matter, a one bid leage anyway.
Southland Texas State Lamar Another Bubble Spot taken away, TSU will get in.
Summit League South Dakota State Oral Roberts Doesn't matter, a one bid league anyway.
Sun Belt Florida Atlantic Florida International One less spot for the Beavers.
WAC Fresno State Hawaii Probably was a one bid league anyway.
After the Conference Tournaments, it looks like there are 34 Spots taken up. Add the 6 Automatic Bids from Leagues without Tourneys, and that leaves 20 Spots. The question is this: Is Oregon State one of the next best 20 Teams? Let's go into this a little deeper.
First of all, there are four big conferences in College Baseball. The SEC, ACC, Big 12, and Pac-10. Below are my predictions for the bids per conference. (Not including the Conference Tournament Winner)
SEC
Florida
Auburn
South Carolina
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
Mississippi
14 Spots Left
ACC
Virginia
Clemson
Georgia Tech
NC State
10 Spots Left
Big 12
Texas
Oklahoma
Kansas State
7 Spots Left
Alright. Now there are 7 Spots left for the Pac-10. That's pretty much the consensus around the nation, that we will get 7 Teams in. So I'm pretty sure I'm doing this whole Bracket thing right.
Pac-10
In For Sure
Arizona State
UCLA
Stanford
Washington State
On The Bubble
Oregon
Oregon State
California
Arizona
So now the question is, who gets in between the four Bubble Teams? First, let's take a look at the records:
Oregon, 38-22
Oregon State, 31-22
California, 29-23
Arizona, 33-22
Obviously, the team that falls short there is the Golden Bears. They have failed to reach the 30 Win Plateau, and they also have more losses then anyone else. Now let's take a look at the RPI's:
Oregon, 31
Oregon State, 23
California, 36
Arizona, 25
Once again, the team that falls short are the Golden Bears with an RPI of 36. I think it's safe to say that California will be the team left out, and that Oregon State will be in the Field of 64 once again!
Hopefully my formula is correct. I'll see everyone in the morning.
Go Beavers!