So far this basketball season, we have seen the Beavers go 4-4 and the rest of the Pac-10 has played pretty poorly as well in non-conference play. In order to make the NCAA tournament, the Beavers will need to win 20 regular season games.
The Beavers have 22 remaining regular season games. To get to 20 wins, the Beavers must go 16-6 in their remaining games. This does not seem likely to me. For starters, they will probably have to win all four of their remaining non-conference games. This is possible but not necessarily probable. For the sake of argument, let's suppose it happens. This still means the Beavers must go 12-6 in conference. The conference is weak, but this still seems to be a stretch.
Given their start, the Beavers will need to improve and become more consistent to make the tournament. One step at a time. Let's win the next game against Illinois-Chicago.